Publications by Norman A. Bailey

Israel and the clash of civilizations

The decay at the core of Western civilization is leading to increasing anti-Israel rhetoric and reality.

Publication Date: Friday, December 4, 2015

In the 1990's, Samuel Huntington wrote about the "clash of civilizations", and specifically predicted that the next global conflict of that nature would be between Western (Judeo/Christian; Greco/Roman) civilization and radical Islam.  {read more}

What should Israel really fear?

The IDF has Iran covered, but there are less obvious threats that could be no less potent.

Publication Date: Monday, November 30, 2015

A former director of the Central Intelligence Agency recently stated that the intelligence community in the US has a perfect record on identifying future threats: "We have never been right." The one thing we know nothing about is the future. Nevertheless we have no choice but to try to peer through the fog and at least identify those potential threats which would seem most likely and try to position ourselves to confront them.  {read more}

What a downed Russian plane may portend

An IS attack on the Suez Canal, Iran and Russia fomenting strife in Saudi Arabia - such violent scenarios make awful sense.

Publication Date: Friday, November 13, 2015

It is now generally accepted that the Russian commercial airliner that crashed in the Sinai fell victim to a terrorist attack through the introduction of a bomb into the cargo hold, presumably hidden in a crate or container and labelled as containing as some harmless product. Islamic State (IS) has claimed responsibility and there is no reason not to believe it.  {read more}

Israel can finesse global changes

As China and Russia mount challenges to US hegemony, Israel has a good hand to play.

Publication Date: Friday, November 6, 2015

The panorama of international relations is changing with dizzying speed and increasing complexity. Governments now compete with hundreds of non-state actors (NSAs) for resources, influence and the other elements of power projection. Statecraft and intelligence are being transformed by the cyber-revolution, and defense and security agencies are scrambling to keep up with rapid advances in technology, often falling far behind.  {read more}

Iran unleashed

As Iran extends its influence to Israel's northern border, the madness of the nuclear deal is becoming apparent.

Publication Date: Monday, October 26, 2015

The two greatest physicists in history, writing centuries apart, agreed on one thing. Sir Isaac Newton wrote: "I can calculate the motion of the heavenly bodies but not the madness of people." Albert Einstein wrote: "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the universe."  {read more}

Turkish army won't stand by

As Turkey degenerates, a military coup is more likely than total failure, and not a bad outcome for Israel.

Publication Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Famed commentator David Goldman, writing under the pseudonym "Spengler" in the "Asia Times," has published an analysis in which he asks the question whether Turkey is in danger of becoming another Middle Eastern failed state, joining Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and Libya in that status.  {read more}

Israel can live with Russia in Syria

Russia is exploiting Western weakness to strengthen its position in the Mediterranean, but Israeli interests are not necessarily threatened.

Publication Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Russia is back in the Middle East in a wholesale fashion, signing huge aircraft sales to Iran, making weapons supply contracts with Egypt and particularly, injecting air, naval and land forces into the super-sensitive Syrian coastal area, where it now has not just the naval base at Tartus but an air base near Latakia, with a large number of advanced aircraft already deployed and being used.  {read more}

Just let Israeli business get on with the job

Amid much global uncertainty, Israel's economy still looks set to thrive, if it is allowed to.

Publication Date: Thursday, October 1, 2015

With all the attention on disastrous political and military developments around the world, analysis of the economic fallout has been put on the back burner. But it will be increasingly important as time goes on.  {read more}

Russia confirms Iran's triumph

The Western powers are being outplayed by adversaries with much weaker hands.

Publication Date: Thursday, September 24, 2015

VIENNA 1815: The great powers of Europe; Russia, Prussia, Great Britain and Austria, meet in Vienna with the representative of a France defeated, disarmed and occupied by foreign troops.  {read more}

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Total Records: 139