Publications by Paul A. Goble

Downing of Russian Plane has Serious Consequences for Putin at Home, in Central Asia, and in Ukraine

Publication Date: Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Staunton, November 25 - The shooting down of a Russian military plane by Turkish forces after Kremlin ignored repeated warnings from Ankara not to violate Turkey's airspace not only increases the risks of a clash between Russia and the West but has serious consequences for Putin at home, in Central Asia and the Caucasus, and in Ukraine.  {read more}

ISIS Said Shifting Its Recruiting Efforts from Arab World to Caucasus and Central Asia

Publication Date: Friday, August 14, 2015

The Islamic State is shifting its primary recruiting efforts away from the Arab world to the Caucasus, Central Asia and Indonesia, regions where the number of young Muslims is growing and the local situations are in its view more favorable to its message, according to a new report by Egypt's Administration for Religious Regulations.  {read more}

"Nobody Talks about the Armenians Nowadays"

Publication Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2015

On August 22, 1939, Adolf Hitler explained to his entourage why he thought he could get away with mass murder by saying that "nobody talks about the Armenians nowadays," despite the fact that they had been the victims of a mass murder only 24 years earlier.  {read more}

Unlike Mussolini, Putin Canít Make the Trains Run on Time Ė and Russians are Taking Notice

Publication Date: Thursday, February 5, 2015

Italian fascist dictator Benito Mussolini, it was said, might have failed at everything else, but at least he kept the trains running on time. Now, it appears that Vladimir Putin isn't capable of doing that and his all-too-public wrestling with the problem is generating concerns among Russians about his ability to govern the country.  {read more}

What Putin intends to provoke in the Baltic Countries

Publication Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Just as the purpose of terror is to terrorize, the purpose of provocation is to provoke - and if the targets of a provocation understand what the one engaging in it wants to provoke, they will be in a much better position not only to prepare for it but to avoid falling into the trap the provocateur hopes to set and to deny him a victory.  {read more}

A Kremlin 'Reset' Ė Putin from 'Defender of the Russian World' to 'Peacemaker'

Publication Date: Thursday, July 10, 2014

Russian public opinion "is being prepared for a change in Kremlin policy" toward Ukraine, Moscow commentators say, with central government media now downplaying the need for and utility of force and playing up the ways in which Vladimir Putin can serve as "peacemaker."  {read more}

Russia Further from Superpower Status than When Putin Came to Power

Publication Date: Monday, June 23, 2014

With the occupation of Crimea and with the encouragement of the Kremlin, many Russians believe they are on their way to becoming a super power once again, but the most thoughtful among them recognize that Russia lacks two if not three of the elements a super power must have.  {read more}

Crimea: A New 9/11 for the United States

Publication Date: Monday, June 2, 2014

In 1991, with the end of the Cold War, the disappearance of the Soviet bloc, and the disintegration of the USSR, many Americans-policymakers among them-believed that we had reached the end of history.  {read more}

Why Moscow Desperately Wants a "New Cold War" Ė and Why There Isnít and Wonít be One

Publication Date: Friday, May 9, 2014

Moscow commentators have been denouncing the West for launching "a new cold war" against Russia, and a large share of Western commentators have assumed that this is because the Russian leadership doesn't want one. In fact, Moscow is desperate to have that the new-old paradigm be restored at least at the level of rhetoric for at least three reasons.  {read more}

Putinís Failure in Crimea, by Prof. Paul Goble

Publication Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Russian President Vladimir Putin and his supporters in Moscow and the West are explaining and justifying his invasion of Ukraine's Crimea in various ways and celebrating the divisions and weaknesses of the West that it has highlighted, but in every case, they are treating it as a geopolitical victory for the Kremlin. They could not be more wrong.  {read more}

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Total Records: 47