David Archibald

David Archibald is a Perth, Australia-based scientist working in the fields of oil exploration, climate science, energy and geostrategy.  After graduating from Queensland University in geology in 1979, he worked in coal and oil shale exploration in Queensland and then in oil exploration with Exxon in Sydney.  A long period in stockbroking in Sydney as an analyst was followed by moving to Perth in 1999 to work for a private investor. He subsequently started the oil exploration company Oilex in 2003 and then joined a Canadian-listed oil exploration company in 2006.  Also at that time, he was CEO of the mineral explorer Westgold Resources.  

Mr. Archibald began researching in climate science in 2006 and has published a number of papers in this field, and two books: "Solar Cycle 24" and "The Past and Future of Climate". His climate prediction methodology uses solar cycle length to predict climate up to one solar cycle in advance. Mr Archibald's work in this field was corroborated by three Norwegian scientists in a paper published in February 2012:  Solheim, J.E., Stordahl, K. and Humlum, O. "The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24" Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 16 February 2012 (available online here).  Mr Archibald has lectured on climate in hearing rooms of the US Senate, in 2011, and the US Congress, in 2013. 

Mr. Archibald has been an expert witness in the Supreme Court of NSW in the fields of rolling mills for steel works and petroleum geology. Also in the steel industry, he consulted on the Amurstal steelworks in Komsomolsk-na-Amur in Far East Russia in the mid-1990s.  In medical research, Mr Archibald was involved in investigating the synergistic effect of combinations of plant flavanols in reversing cancer, specifically sulforaphane and capsaicin.  Also in the medical field, he edited and published a book on the role of isoflavones in modulating the human female hormone system.  This book is available as "Hormones with Harmony" on Kindle. 

More recently Mr Archibald has concentrated on predicting the effect on civilisation of the reducing supply and higher price of energy, MENA region population growth and collapse, the impact of deteriorating climate on agriculture, nuclear weapons proliferation and Chinese irredentism.  These themes are brought together in his book published in 2014 - The Twilight of Abundance.

Mr. Archibald is the 2008 winner of the Iowahawk Earth Week Cruise-In.


Archibald, D., 2008 "Solar Cycle 24" Rhaetian Management pp.70, ISBN 978-0-646-50269-4
Archibald, D., 2010 "The Past and Future of Climate" Rhaetian Management pp. 142, ISBN 978-0-646-53605-7
Copley, G.R., Pickford, A., Bodansky, Y., 2011 "Energy Security 2.0" International Strategic Studies Association, pp. 165, ISBN 978-1-892998-16-5
Archibald, D., 2014 Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century will be Nasty, Brutish, and Short 


Archibald, D. 2006, Solar Cycles 24 and 25 and Predicted Climate Response, Energy and Environment, 17, 29-38.
Archibald, D. 2007, Climate Outlook to 2030, Energy and Environment, 18, 615-619.
Archibald, D. 2008, Solar Cycle 24: Implications for the United States, International Conference on Climate Change, New York.
Archibald, D. 2011, The Current Solar Minimum and Its Consequences for Climate, p. 277-287, in Easterbrook, D., Evidence-Based Climate Science, Elsevier, ISBN 978-0-12-385956-3 


Congressional Testimony
Testimony before the Australian Senate