As Iraq and Libya descend into anarchy, they are no longer reliable sources.
Major threats to the regional oil supply are emerging in two countries: Libya, which is moving from failed state to no state status, and Iraq, which is moving towards failed state status.
In Libya, there is no longer a government. Unlike Syria, where the state is battling various insurgent groups as well as the ethnic Kurds in the northeast, Libya no longer has a state for insurgents to attack. It has become the quintessential Hobbesian "war of all against all". The Libyan army and air force have defected en-masse to "General" Hifter (or Haftar), the miraculously resurrected former Ghaddafi army officer Two air force planes have already attacked Islamist bases near Benghazi.