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Chaos threatens oil supply, by Prof. Norman Bailey

As Iraq and Libya descend into anarchy, they are no longer reliable sources.

Major threats to the regional oil supply are emerging in two countries: Libya, which is moving from failed state to no state status, and Iraq, which is moving towards failed state status.

In Libya, there is no longer a government. Unlike Syria, where the state is battling various insurgent groups as well as the ethnic Kurds in the northeast, Libya no longer has a state for insurgents to attack. It has become the quintessential Hobbesian “war of all against all”. The Libyan army and air force have defected en-masse to “General” Hifter (or Haftar), the miraculously resurrected former Ghaddafi army officer Two air force planes have already attacked Islamist bases near Benghazi.

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