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Israel beware the Ides of March

March 2015 is looking like it is going to be a very “interesting” month.

First Prime Minister Netanyahu will address the joint houses of Congress while he is in Washington to attend the annual AIPAC meeting.

Second, on the 17th, the elections take place in Israel. At this point they are entirely unpredictable as the maneuvering and jockeying proceed on what seems like an hourly basis.

Third, one week later, the 24th, is the latest “deadline” to reach an agreement between the six powers and Iran on the Iranian program to develop the ability to produce nuclear weapons.

The prime minister, John Boehner, Speaker of the House of Representatives and President Obama are engaged in a three-way political dance, each trying to gain political advantage from the impending address. Which will gain more from this exercise is not clear. Indeed, it is not clear that there will be any winner politically. Certainly relations between Israel and the Obama Administration, already bad have been getting worse and will continue to do so at a particularly crucial time.

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