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Iran: It will be no deal or a bad deal

When Secretary of State John Kerry hobbles into the meeting room on June 30th with his colleagues from Great Britain, Germany, France, China and Russia for the latest of their “negotiations” with the Iranians, which have now stretched on for a year and a half, he will be facing a situation that has become even more complex and confusing than ever.

Since the last round of talks, labeled “historic” by President Obama before it appeared that there was in fact no agreement, nor for that matter any agreement even on what was discussed, the Iranian authorities have been making one belligerent and aggressive declaration after another, denying any intention of compromising on any of the points on the agenda.

At the same time, the French prime minister and foreign minister have articulated with impeccable Cartesian logic how the talks appear to be going nowhere, and German Chancellor Merkel has also expressed her disagreement with the direction of the talks. A series of high-level former government officials and military officers in the US have weighed in publicly on the dangers of what a deal is likely to contain, while it is an open secret that the current military hierarchy is fervently opposed to any such deal.

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