Norman A. Bailey is a Professor of Economics and National Security at IWP and Former Senior Director of International Economic Affairs with the White House National Security Council.
Anyone who knows how to play poker knows the likely final results of a situation like this. Eventually, with a huge pot of chips piled up as a result of competitive raises, one of the players will see another and show his hand. Then all the others must do the same. The bluffs will be…Read More ›
A former director of the Central Intelligence Agency recently stated that the intelligence community in the US has a perfect record on identifying future threats: “We have never been right.” The one thing we know nothing about is the future. Nevertheless we have no choice but to try to peer through the fog and at…Read More ›
It is now generally accepted that the Russian commercial airliner that crashed in the Sinai fell victim to a terrorist attack through the introduction of a bomb into the cargo hold, presumably hidden in a crate or container and labelled as containing as some harmless product. Islamic State (IS) has claimed responsibility and there is…Read More ›
The panorama of international relations is changing with dizzying speed and increasing complexity. Governments now compete with hundreds of non-state actors (NSAs) for resources, influence and the other elements of power projection. Statecraft and intelligence are being transformed by the cyber-revolution, and defense and security agencies are scrambling to keep up with rapid advances in…Read More ›
The two greatest physicists in history, writing centuries apart, agreed on one thing. Sir Isaac Newton wrote: “I can calculate the motion of the heavenly bodies but not the madness of people.” Albert Einstein wrote: “Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity, and I’m not sure about the universe.”Read More ›
Famed commentator David Goldman, writing under the pseudonym “Spengler” in the “Asia Times,” has published an analysis in which he asks the question whether Turkey is in danger of becoming another Middle Eastern failed state, joining Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and Libya in that status.Read More ›
Russia is back in the Middle East in a wholesale fashion, signing huge aircraft sales to Iran, making weapons supply contracts with Egypt and particularly, injecting air, naval and land forces into the super-sensitive Syrian coastal area, where it now has not just the naval base at Tartus but an air base near Latakia, with…Read More ›