You are cordially invited to a lecture on
Climate and U.S. Energy Security

with
David Archibald

Tuesday, February 22
3:30 PM

The Institute of World Politics
1521 16th Street NW
Washington, DC 20036

Please RSVP to kbridges@iwp.edu.


David ArchibaldDavid Archibald is a Perth-based scientist working in the fields of oil exploration, medical research, climate science and energy. After graduating from Queensland University in geology in 1979, he worked in coal and oil shale exploration in Queensland and then in oil exploration with Esso in Sydney. A long period in stockbroking in Sydney as an analyst was followed by moving to Perth to work for a private investor. He subsequently floated the oil exploration company Oilex in 2003 and then joined a Canadian-listed oil exploration company in 2006. Also at that time, he was CEO of the mineral explorer Westgold Resources.

Mr. Archibald began researching in climate science in 2006 and has published a number of papers in this field, and two books: Solar Cycle 24 and The Past and Future of Climate. He has also been an expert witness in the Supreme Court of NSW in the fields of rolling mills for steel works and petroleum geology. He is the inventor of a drug targeting benign prostatic hyperplasia. This drug demonstrated efficacy during in vitro trials at Queensland University in 2009 and will be entering human trials in 2011. He is also president of the Australian Coal-to-Liquids Association Inc. His climate papers are available on his website at: www.davidarchibald.info.


Climate and U.S. Energy Security

This presentation starts by putting current climatic conditions within the context of recent and historic records. It is then shown that while the carbon dioxide heating effect is real, it is also miniscule. Predicted solar activity is used to predict climate. That prediction is for a 24 year cold period similar to that experienced in the Dalton Minimum at the beginning of the 19th century. In turn, the agricultural consequences of that cold period will be significantly reduced Canadian and other high latitude grain production, drought in East Africa and South America, and reduced monsoonal strength in Asia.

Simultaneously with this colder-climate stress on agricultural production, world oil supply will shrink with a dramatic price response. Price substitution effects will drive the building of coal-to-liquids plants to serve the transport fuels market, and nuclear power will supplant coal in the power market. Thorium in molten salt reactors is advocated as the optimum nuclear process. The presentation finishes with the outline of a plan for US energy independence by 2020.