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Post-Fidel Cuba: Threats and Opportunities

Thu, Apr 24, 2008, 5:00pm - 6:15pm

On April 24, 2008, IWP Adjunct Professor Roger Fontaine delivered a detailed examination of the complex psychology of Cuba's current leadership and the ways in which this psychology affects Cuba's political, military, and economic future.  Numerous IWP students, professors, staff, and guests were on hand to hear Prof. Fontaine's personal views on the future of Cuba, as well as gain perspective on the multiplicity of challenges that nation faces.

Although Raul Castro appears more willing to embrace change than was his brother (for example, in permitting Cuban citizens to purchase cellphones for the first time), Prof. Fontaine provided evidence that meaningful and lasting change to Cuba's economy, military, and political structure are not likely as long as the current regime maintains power.  Prof. Fontaine noted the difficulty in gaining any useful intelligence on Cuba's plans and intentions, and suggested that the visit of a personal emissary of the US President — not an ambassador — might provide some insight for policymakers.

Professor Fontaine invited Ambassador Alberto Piedra, himself an expert on Latin America with first-hand knowledge of the Castro family, to offer his own views on Cuba's future as a counterpoint. 

Professor Fontaine's course, "Latin America: Politics, Economics, and Security," is being offered in the summer semester.  It's not too late to register for this course; for more information, please click here.  Or, to apply to study at IWP as a continuing education student, please click here.